Research into the rarity of the numeral cancels

 

Motivation:

 

In regards to the numeral cancels there are two publications which will give you an idea about the values of the cancels and their relative scarcity. These publications are:

  1. De Puntstempels van Nederlands-Indië, by P.R. Bulterman. This publication was published in Postzak # 153, September 1987.

  2. Nederlands-Indië Puntstempels 1874-1893; met waardebepaling voor afstempelingen op losse postzegels en op poststuk, by P. Storm van Leeuwen. This publication is part of De Specialiteiten Catalogus 2006-2011 of the NVPH   (2005).

Because five advanced collectors of the numeral cancels of the Dutch East Indies wanted to compare their collections to what was published in the above  mentioned publication a  project was set up. This study/survey took place  from December 2006 through February 2007.

 

Questions:

 

Three questions had to be answered

 

  1. How easy/hard would it be to setup  a large collection of numeral cancels?

  2. What is the ratio of the stamps of the five collectors relative to reference stamp NVPH#9; in other words, for example how many Scott #9 versus a postage due #3?

    a) The ratios will carry one decimal

  3. What is the average number of stamps (by postoffice), found by the collectors to determine the scarcity of a particular post office?

    a) One should take into account the number of years a postoffice was open during the  period of use of the numeral cancel.

Assumptions:

  • The first, second and Wilhelmina issue are not part of the survey;

  • Stamps 3 and 4 are counted together;

  • Stamps 5 and 6 are counted together;

  • This makes for a total 31 separate stamps and postage due stamps, which are given a rating;

  • Only postoffices with  clear differences are treated separately:

    • Field postoffice Atjeh type 1 in addition to type 2 of Atjeh and Kottaradja

    • Exp. Postoffice. Mailsteamer/Karanganjer in addition to Demak

    • 100 type 1 Langkat in addition to type 2 Bangil

    • 116 type 1 Boeleleng in addition to type 2 Gombong

    • 117 type 1 Banckalan in addition to type 2 Bindjei 

  • The postoffices 60, 61, 66 type 2, 67, 68, 69 type 1, 81, 84, 107, 113 can only be differentiated based on the date cancel;

  • There are a total of 125 different postoffices that have been counted;

  • In theory there are than 31 different stamps x 125 different postoffices= 3875 possible combinations. In addition:

    • For field postoffice Atjeh 66 with type 1 ( valid into 1881) with near certainty the following do not exist:

      • Scott 10,14,17,18,19,20,21,22

      • postage dues  7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15 

    • For the postal agents Singapore 89 and Penang 90 with near certainty the following do not exist:

      • postage dues 7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15

    • For Langkat 100 type 1  with near certainty the following do not exist:

      • Scott 10,14,17,18,19,20,21,22

      • postage dues 7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15

  • By eliminating the impossible combinations (60 in all) we end up with a total of 3815 possible combinations;

  • Scott # 9 (10 cent King Willem III) is the reference with an assigned value of 1.0;

  • If another stamp has a value of 3.4, it means that Scott #9 is 3.4 times as common as this stamp;

  • For postoffices closed before the end of use of the numeral cancels  (mid april 1893), for example then field postoffices and Langkat, one can not find numeral cancels on those offices beyond the closing date;

  • For postoffices opened after the introduction date of the numeral cancels (April 1, 1874) it will be difficult (if not impossible) to find numeral cancels on dates prior to the opening of the postoffice (for example Lasem and Toeren).

 

Collections used for the survey:

 

For the survey five collections, with a number of combinations of stamps and numeral cancels ranging from 750 to 1659 (excluding doubles) were used . A total of 5947 stamps. These collectors  have been active for years (average of 15 years), and are visitors of auctions, bourses and the internet.

 

Results after analyzing the survey: 

  • It is hard to differentiate between 69 type 1 Karanganjer and 69 type 2 Demak;

  • Postage dues 1, 2, 3, and 4 are very rare after postoffice Garoet 102 because these postoffices opened at about or after the introduction of the newer postage dues stamps;

  • Scott # 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, and 8 are very rare after postoffice 109 Wingli, because those offices opened late and also because the newer cipher type stamps came out.

  • Postage dues (except 11) are rare after postoffice 41 Tjiandjoer;

  • Postage dues are not known for 44 Tjiamis, 80 Indrapoera and of course 74 Kottaboemi, 112 Goenoengtoea and 114 Rantauprapat.

About the valuations in Bulterman and Storm van Leeuwen, based on the collections examined:

  • 114 and 74 are maybe rated too low     

  • 112 is rarer

  • 79 is rarer       

  • 100-1 is less rare (can only be found on a few stamps)

  • 69-1 Field postoffice Atjeh is rarer (can only be found on a few stamps)

  • 44 is rarer

  • 75 is less rare

  • In addition, there are many minor differences with Bulterman and Storm van Leeuwen. 

Conclusion: 

 

It will be hard for the advanced and especially for the just starting collector to accumulate an extensive collection of numeral cancels by postoffice. It will take years of looking for them at bourses, auctions, and internet, besides a substantial monetary investment. Stamps are often not offered as singles, but in (partial) collections, resulting in redundancy.

 

Of course  examining ‘only’ five large collections has its limitations. By only judging the combinations of cancels per postoffice, all doublets are left out; this can cause a somewhat skewed picture. Also, not all rare stamps have a certificate of authenticity, given reason for  questionable conclusions.

 

It will be impossible to collect all combinations. The five collectors have 1930 combinations (excluding doubles). This is about 50% of all theoretically possible combinations.

 

Ratios determined for the following stamps:

 

 

Scott

Total

Factor

 

 

 

3 and 4

125

4,8

5 and 6

93

6,5

7

128

4,7

8

353

1,7

9

600

1,0

10

233

2,6

11

454

1,3

12

415

1,4

13

466

1,3

14

258

2,3

15

366

1,6

16

105

5,7

 

 

 

17

44

13,6

18

169

3,6

19

239

2,5

20

80

7,5

21

258

2,3

22

277

2,2

 

 

 

Postage Dues

 

 

j3

8

75,0

j4

31

19,4

j5

43

14,0

j6

179

3,4

 

 

 

j7

82

7,3

j8

137

4,4

j9

122

4,9

j10

61

9,8

j11

469

1,3

j12

29

20,7

j13

50

12,0

j14

39

15,4

j15

34

17,6

 

 

 

Total

5947

 

 

Note: Scott#9: 10 cent King Willam III is the reference stamp; the most common stamp with a numeral cancel.

 

The stamps come from five large collections; each stamp being counted only once. Next, all the results are added and an average is calculated. A factor of 3.6 for Scott#18 means that Scott # 9 is 3.6 times as common. In other words, a Scott#18 is on average 3.6 times as rare as a Scott#9 of the same post office.

 

Ratios determined for the following postoffices:

 

Island

Nr.

Post Office

Total

Average

Sumatra

114

Rantauprapat

2

0,4

Sumatra

74

Kottaboemi

3

0,6

Sumatra

112

Goenoengtoea

5

1,0

Sumatra

100,1

Langkat

8

1,6

Sumatra

111

Kalianda

8

1,6

Sumatra

79

Mokko Mokko

11

2,2

Sumatra

66,1

Veldpost Atjeh no 1

13

2,6

Sumatra

78

Seblat

13

2,6

Sumatra

80

Indrapoera

14

2,8

Sumatra

83

Singkel

17

3,4

Sumatra

101

Baros

18

3,6

Java

103

Krawang

18

3,6

Java

44

Tjiamis

20

4,0

Sumatra

75

Moearadoewa

20

4,0

Madoera

117,1

Banckalan

20

4,0

Java

69,2

Demak

21

4,2

Java

50

Patjitan

22

4,4

Java

107

Keboemen

22

4,4

Java

119

Lasem

22

4,4

Java

69

Karanganjar

23

4,6

Java

97

Ponorogo

23

4,6

Java

92

Bandjarnegara

24

4,8

Java

104

Soebang

27

5,4

Java

116,2

Gombong

27

5,4

Java

73

Boijolalie

29

5,8

Sumatra

76

Tebingtinggi

29

5,8

Java

86

Japara

29

5,8

Soenda Eil.

116,1

Boeleleng

29

5,8

Madoera

30

Pamakassan

30

6,0

Java

38

Anjer

31

6,2

Java

120

Toeren

31

6,2

Java

98

Temanggoeng

32

6,4

Sumatra

106

Edi

32

6,4

Madoera

54

Sumanap

33

6,6

Java

110

Djombang

33

6,6

Postagent

89

NIExpKant.Singapore

34

6,8

Sumatra

81

Rau

35

7,0

Java

39

Poerwakarta

36

7,2

Java

96

Karanganjer

36

7,2

Java

25

Grissee

37

7,4

Celebes

88

Gorontalo

37

7,4

Sumatra

56

Sibogha

38

7,6

Sumatra

58

Telokbetong

38

7,6

Java

61

Poerwadadi

38

7,6

Java

87

Toeloengagoeng

38

7,6

Java

109

Wlingi

38

7,6

Java

19

Toeban

39

7,8

Billiton

60

Tandjongpandan

39

7,8

Java

67

Oenarang

39

7,8

Sumatra

77

Lahat

39

7,8

Java

43

Indramaijoe

40

8,0

Java

46

Koedoes

40

8,0

Postagent

90

NIExpKant.Penang

40

8,0

Java

100,2

Bangkil

40

8,0

Java

47

Bodjonegoro

41

8,2

Soenda Eil.

65

Timor

42

8,4

Sumatra

113

Tebingtinggideli

42

8,4

Java

41

Tjiandjoer

43

8,6

Java

42

Sumedang

43

8,6

Java

53

Sitoebondo

43

8,6

Java

95

Kraksaan

43

8,6

Java

27

Bezoekie

44

8,8

Sumatra

34

Riouw

44

8,8

Java

94

Djoewana

44

8,8

Java

21

Tjilatjap

45

9,0

Java

99

Wonosobo

45

9,0

Java

17

Pattie

46

9,2

Java

37

Serang

46

9,2

Java

49

Ngawie

46

9,2

Java

85

Sidhoaradjo

47

9,4

Sumatra

118

Tandjongpoera

47

9,4

Sumatra

59

Bengkalis

48

9,6

Java

71

Loemadjang

48

9,6

Java

45

Kendal

49

9,8

Sumatra

57

Benkoelen

51

10,2

Sumatra

105

Olehleh

51

10,2

Java

51

Modjokerto

52

10,4

Java

102

Garoet

52

10,4

Molukken

33

Amboina

53

10,6

Java

72

Bondowosso

53

10,6

Java

18

Rembang

54

10,8

Banka

35

Muntok

54

10,8

Java

24

Madioen

55

11,0

Java

48

Klatten

55

11,0

Java

20

Banjoemas

56

11,2

Java

22

Poerworedjo

56

11,2

Sumatra

55

Fort de Kock

56

11,2

Java

93

Djember

57

11,4

Java

28

Banjoewangie

58

11,6

Molukken

63

Ternate

58

11,6

Java

91

Soekaboemi

58

11,6

Java

52

Malang

59

11,8

Sumatra

82

Padangsidempoean

59

11,8

Molukken

64

Banda

60

12,0

Sumatra

115

Tandjongbalei

61

12,2

Java

29

Kedirie

62

12,4

Borneo

36

Pontianak

62

12,4

Java

70

Blitar

62

12,4

Sumatra

117,2

Bindjei

63

12,6

Java

26

Probolingo

64

12,8

Sumatra

68

Padangpandjang

65

13,0

Sumatra

32

Palembang

66

13,2

Java

14

Pekalongan

67

13,4

Java

15

Salatiga

67

13,4

Celebes

62

Menado

68

13,6

Borneo

31

Bandjermasin

69

13,8

Java

12

Bandong

70

14,0

Java

13

Tagal

70

14,0

Java

40

Meester Cornelis

70

14,0

Java

16

Ambarawa

71

14,2

Java

10

Djokjakarta

72

14,4

Java

6

Cheribon

77

15,4

Java

11

Passoeroean

78

15,6

Sumatra

66,2

Veldpost Atjeh

78

15,6

Java

23

Magelang

79

15,8

Celebes

9

Makassar

84

16,8

Java

7

Soerakarta

85

17,0

Java

8

Buitenzorg

88

17,6

Sumatra

84

Deli

95

19,0

Sumatra

108

Medan

96

19,2

Sumatra

5

Padang

108

21,6

Java

2

Samarang

110

22,0

Java

1

Weltevreden

121

24,2

Java

4

Batavia

125

25,0

Java

3

Soerabaija

131

26,2

 

 

Totaal zegels

5947

 

 

 

 

 

 

Billiton

60

Billiton

*

 

Borneo

61

Singkawang

*

 

Sumatra

66,2

Kotaradja

*

 

Sumatra

66,2

Atjeh

*

 

Sumatra

67

Veldpost Atjeh no 2

*

 

Sumatra

68

Veldpost Atjeh no 3

*

 

Postagent

69,1

Exp.kant. Bat. Mi. Str.

*

 

Sumatra

81

Loeboesikaping

*

 

Sumatra

84

Laboean

*

 

Sumatra

84

Laboean Deli

*

 

Sumatra

107

Teloksemawe

*

 

Sumatra

113

Bandarklipa

*

 

 

The stamps come from five large collections, counting only unique combinations. Next, the results were added and an average calculated. The lower the average the rarer the post office cancel. In this survey Soerabaja is the most common, Rantauprapat the rarest.

 

 * postoffices can only be identified on piece.